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Posted by: jerry0904 - 11-08-2019, 05:20 PM - Forum: Current Issues And Global News - No Replies

昨日(7日)美股盘中大涨受到企业财报优于预期以及中美贸易协商传出利多消息,使得美国道琼工业指数一度大涨,但随后美国华府内部传出反对取消对中国关税消息,因此尾盘涨幅逐渐收敛,最终收涨182.24点(0.66%)。
据传中美双方准备分阶段性取消对彼此加征的关税,而北京方面也考虑解除美国肉品进口限制,预计中美双方达成的临时贸易协议,将包括美国承诺取消预定12月15日生效的关税。不过,路透社报导表示,取消对中方关税的计划在华府内部是遭遇到强烈反对,并且尚未做出最后决定,因此最后利多出尽,使得尾盘没有推升力道。另一方面必须注意泡沫性的风险,现在股市处于历史高点,一旦出现不确定性因素,很容易引发市场大量卖压,因此中美双方协议后续发展需更加谨慎看待。

外汇技术分析(黄金XAUUSD):
今日外汇黄金(11月8日) 早盘在1467.9美元/盎司附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时级别观察走势受到中美协商有乐观进展的消息下,避险情绪大幅下降,使得黄金跌破重要0.236折返水平线出现大幅下跌,因此有机会跌深后反弹。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1480~1481美元/盎司,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1461~1462美元/盎司,操作心态偏短多为主,想进场做短多的投资者可考虑在1466美元盎司至1469.5美元/盎司区间轻仓买进,止损点位可考虑设置1464美元/盎司下方。
 
外汇技术分析(欧元/美元EURUSD):
今日外汇欧元/美元(11月8日) 早盘在1.10484附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时级别观察走势符合昨日(11月7日)预测出现反弹,但受到美元做突破涨势,使得欧元被动性下跌,因此有机会出现破底反弹。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1.10700~1.10750,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1.10400~1.10450,操作心态偏短多为主,想进场做短多的投资者可考虑在1.10460至1.10500区间轻仓买进,止损点位可考虑设置1.10401下方。
 
外汇技术分析(英镑/美元GBPUSD):
今日外汇英镑/美元(11月8日) 早盘在1.28117附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察走势符合昨日(11月7日)预测做出反弹后下跌,那目前跌深底部有筹码锁定,因此有机会做上涨行情。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1.28450~1.28500,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1.28000~1.28050,操作心态偏短多为主,想进场做短多的投资者可考虑在1.28110至1.28190区间轻仓买进,止损点位可考虑设置1.28010下方。
 
外汇技术分析(纽币/美元NZDUSD):
今日外汇纽币/美元(11月8日) 早盘在0.63603附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察走势完全符合昨日(7日)预测出现大幅拉涨,目前K棒落于下降通道,因此有机会下跌寻找支撑位。
目前短线上方压力区间位于0.64000~0.64050,下行方向,初步支撑区间于0.63450~0.63480,操作心态偏短多为主,想进场做短多的投资者可考虑在0.63520至0.63550区间轻仓买进,止损点位可考虑设置0.63470下方。
 
外汇技术分析(纳斯达克指数Nas100):
今日外汇纳指(11月8日) 早盘在8222.5附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察走势受到中美贸易利多消息影响,使得盘中大幅上涨,但因传出尚未确定取消关税,而尾盘收敛涨势,目前要注意涨多后的拉回风险,因此有机会跌破支撑后持续下跌。
目前短线上方压力区间位于8250~8260点,下行方向,初步支撑区间于8150~8160点,操作心态偏短空为主,想进场做短空的投资者可考虑在8205至8215区间轻仓买进,止损点位可考虑设置8225上方。
 
今日外汇重点数据(数据名称/重要性/前值/预期): 
1.中国10月贸易帐(亿元)/三颗星/2751.5/2833
2.中国10月以美元计算贸易帐(亿美元)/三颗星/396.5/401
3.瑞士10月季调后失业率/三颗星/2.3%/2.3%
4.德国9月未季调贸易帐(亿欧元)/三颗星/162/195
5.德国9月未季调经常帐(亿欧元)/三颗星/169/191
6.法国9月工业产出月率/三颗星/-0.9%/0.3%
7.法国9月贸易帐(亿欧元)/三颗星/-50.2/-48
8.美国9月批发销售月率/三颗星/0%/0.1%
9.美国11月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值/三颗星/95.5/95.9

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