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FirewoodFX - Daily Market News
Asia Roundup:
Aussie at 3-week peak as S&P affirms Australia's AAA credit rating, dollar rallies against yen as U.S.-China trade war fears ebb, Asian shares extend rebound – Friday, September 21st, 2018







Market Roundup

N.Korea's Kim wants another Trump summit to speed denuclearization -S.Korea's Moon

S&P raises outlook on Australia, affirms AAA credit rating

EU pushes October Brexit agreement, threatens no deal

U.S. sanctions China for buying Russian fighter jets, missiles

Accuser of Trump's court nominee sets conditions for testifying

Japan Aug CPI, Core Nationwide YY, 0.9%, 0.9% f'cast, 0.8% prev

Japan Aug CPI, Overall Nationwide, 1.3%, 0.9% prev

Japan Sep Nikkei Mfg PMI Flash, 52.9, 52.5 prev

Ultra-short obligation funds attract inflows ahead of Fed -Lipper

U.S. muni bond funds post $140.8 mln in inflows-Lipper

Foreign CB US debt holdings +$4.270 bln to $3.426 tln Sep 19 week

Treasuries -$2.387 bln to $3.051 tln, agencies +$6.910 mln to $305.440 bln



Economic Data Ahead

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Sep Markit Mfg Flash PMI, 55.7 f'cast, 55.9 prev

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Sep Markit Serv Flash PMI, 55.0 f'cast, 55.0 prev

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Germany Sep Markit Comp Flash PMI, 55.4 f'cast, 55.6 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Mfg Flash PMI, 54.4 f'cast, 54.6 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Serv Flash PMI, 54.4 f'cast, 54.4 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Comp Flash PMI, 54.4 f'cast, 54.5 prev









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Asia Roundup:
Antipodean ease as China cancels trade talks, dollar index surges as latest U.S.- China import tariffs take effect, Asian shares slump amid holiday-thinned trading – Monday, September 24th, 2018







Market Roundup

U.S., China impose fresh tariffs with no trade talks in sight

China to issue white paper on U.S. trade frictions – Xinhua

OPEC, Russia rebuff Trump's call for immediate boost to oil output

Accuser of Trump's Supreme Court nominee to testify on Thursday

Britain's Labour to vote on keeping second Brexit referendum on table

Canada PM says informal NAFTA talks likely in next few days at U.N.

Indian refiners may reduce oil imports as crude prices soar, rupee struggles

German govt agrees solution to spymaster crisis that threatened coalition




Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Sep Ifo Business Climate New, 103.2 f'cast, 103.8 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Sep Ifo Curr Conditions New, 106.1 f'cast, 106.4 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Germany Sep Ifo Expectations New, 100.2 f'cast, 101.2 prev

(0600 ET/1000 GMT) Great Britain Sep CBI Trends – Orders Net bal, 7 prev









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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi gains on progressive business sentiment, dollar index steadies ahead of Fed policy meeting outcome, Asian shares rebound – Wednesday, September 26th, 2018







Market Roundup

MSCI considers increasing Chinese share weight in its indexes

U.S. says Canada not making concessions needed for NAFTA deal

U.S.-China trade war dims Asia's 2019 growth outlook – ADB

Trump, Iran's Rouhani exchange threats, insults on U.N.'s world stage

Trump calls allegations against his high court nominee a 'con game'

EU has more pressing priorities than Brexit -French finance minister

EU open to free trade but not Chequers customs plan -document

New Zealand Aug trade deficit widens to NZ$1.484 bln vs NZ$196 mln July

New Zealand Sept business confidence, -38.3% vs -50.3% prev




Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/ 0830 GMT) Great Britain Aug Finance Mortgage Apps, 39.584k prev

(0600 ET/1000 GMT) Great Britain Sep CBI Distributive Trades, 16 f'cast, 29 prev









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Asia Roundup:
Kiwi eases as RBNZ stands pat, dollar index rallies as Fed projects 5 more rate hikes by 2020, Asian shares slump –  Thursday, September 27th, 2018







Market Roundup

Trump, Abe agree two-way trade talks, Japan dodges U.S. auto tariffs

Trump accuses China of 2018 election meddling; Beijing rejects charge

Trump wavers on U.S. Supreme Court nominee Kavanaugh

Trump slams Canada over NAFTA, says rejected Trudeau meeting

Trump, May discuss desire for “ambitious” post-Brexit trade deal

China Aug Industrial profits yy, 9.2% vs 16.2% July

China leaves rates steady after Fed as two economies diverge

After Fed, Philippines, Indonesia seen hiking rates; NZ holds the line

Italy to present budget targets after government tussle





Economic Data Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Sep MFG Business Confidence, 104.5 f'cast, 104.8 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy Sep Consumer Confidence, 114.9 f'cast, 115.2 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Sep Business Climate, 1.19 f'cast, 1.22 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Sep Economic Sentiment, 111.2 f'cast, 111.6 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Sep Industrial Sentiment, 5.1 f'cast, 5.5 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Sep Services Sentiment, 14.6 f'cast, 14.7 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Sep Consumer Confidence Final, -2.9 f'cast, -2.9 prev

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Germany Sep CPI Prelim YY, 2.0% f'cast, 2.0% prev

(0800 ET/1200 GMT) Germany Sep HICP Prelim YY, 2.0% f'cast, 1.9% prev









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Asia Roundup:
Aussie eases ahead of RBA's policy meeting, dollar index rallies on new US-Mexico-Canada trade deal, Asian shares edged down amid holiday-thinned trading– Monday, October 1st, 2018







Market Roundup

New US-Mexico-Canada trade deal to be signed in late Nov.-U.S. official

FBI probe is the next battle in war over Kavanaugh

As Brexit divisions widen, PM May challenges Brexit critics

China factory sector hurt in September as trade frictions bite

South Korea's factory activity rebounds, fastest growth in 5-1/2 years

Brent oil rises to 4-year high ahead of Iran sanctions, traders eye more hikes

Japan Sep Nikkei Mfg PMI, 52.5, 52.9 prev

Japan Q3 Tankan Big Mfg Idx, 19, 22 f'cast, 21 prev

Japan Q3 Tankan All Big Capex Est, 13.4%, 14.2% f'cast, 13.6% prev





Economic Data Ahead

(0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Sep Markit Mfg PMI, 52.5 f'cast, 52.5 prev

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Sep Markit /BME Mfg PMI, 53.7 f'cast, 53.7 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Mfg Final PMI, 53.3 f'cast, 53.3 prev

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Sep Markit/CIPS Mfg PMI, 52.5 f'cast, 52.8 prev

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Aug BoE Consumer Credit, (GBP), 1.30 bln f'cast, 0.817 bln prev

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Aug Mortgage Lending (GBP), 3.20 bln f'cast, 3.19 bln prev

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Aug Mortgage Approvals, 64.50k f'cast, 64.76k prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Aug Unemployment Rate, 8.2% f'cast, 8.2% prev








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Asia Roundup:
Aussie slumps on downbeat building approvals, euro rebounds as Italy plans to cut budget deficit in coming years, Asian shares trade in red – Wednesday, October 3rd, 2018







Market Roundup

Italian newspaper reports budget deficit to fall to 2.0% of GDP in 2021

New York Times says Trump helped parents shield millions from taxes

Trade pact clause seen deterring China trade deal with Canada, Mexico

Fed's Powell says U.S. outlook “remarkably positive”

ECB's Villeroy says fiscal policy must not influence monetary policy

Challenging her critics, British PM May embraces Brexit “opportunity”

Australia Aug Building Approvals, -9.4%, 1.0% f'cast, -5.2% prev

Japan Sep Services PMI 50.2, 51.5 prev, slumps to 2-yr low after natural disasters





Economic Data Ahead

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Sep Markit Services PMI, 56.5 f'cast, 56.5 prev

(0355 ET/0755 GMT) Germany Sep Markit Comp Final PMI, 55.3 f'cast, 55.3 prev

(0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Sep Markit Serv PMI, 54.3 f'cast, 54.3 prev

(0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Sep Markit Comp PMI, 53.6 f'cast, 53.6 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Serv Final PMI, 54.7 f'cast, 54.7 prev

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) EZ Sep Markit Comp Final PMI, 54.2 f'cast, 54.2 prev

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) Great Britain Sep Markit/CIPS Serv PMI, 54.0 f'cast, 54.3 prev

(0500 ET/0900 GMT) EZ Aug Retail Sales YY, 1.7% f'cast, 1.1% prev







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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans at 30-month lows, dollar hits 11-month peak against yen on upbeat U.S. data and hawkish Fed, Asian shares tumble –  Thursday, October 4th, 2018







Market Roundup

As U.S. bond market swoons, Fed policymakers sanguine, for now

U.S. economy can expand for 'quite some time' -Fed Chair Powell

Saudi Arabia, Russia agreed in Sept to lift oil output, told U.S.

U.S. VP Pence to tell China: We will not be intimidated in South China Sea

U.S. Senate Republicans set Kavanaugh procedural vote for as early as Friday

U.S. Congress, eying China, votes to overhaul development finance

UK's May plans rushing Brexit through parliament – Bloomberg citing sources

Brexit bill could go up as new data show rise in EU budget liabilities

Britain says Russian military intelligence behind host of global cyber attacks

Australia Aug Trade Balance G&S (A$), 1,604 mln, 1,400M f’cast, 1,551M prev, 1,548M rvsd





Economic Data Ahead

No major data releases




Key Events Ahead

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) ECB’s Ewald Nowotny speaks at financial markets conference in Vienna

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) Bank of Finland Governor Olli Rehn, holds news conference about monetary policy and global economic situation in Helsinki

(0530 ET/0930 GMT) Keynote speech by ECB’s Daniele Nouy in Vienna

(0915 ET/1315 GMT) Fed’s Randal Quarles speaks on “Trends in Urban and Rural Community Banks” in St. Louis

(1030 ET/1430 GMT) Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz: Brief remarks on launch of online resource, money and monetary policy in Canada – Ottawa.

(1200 ET/1600 GMT) Speech by ECB’s Benoit Coeure at the local French business community in Chateaudun











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Asia Roundup:
Aussie at multi-month lows as RBA raises concerns over labour market, dollar index gains as U.S. Treasury yields touch 7-year peak, Asian shares plunge – Friday, October 5th, 2018







Market Roundup

Pentagon sees China as 'growing risk' to U.S. defense industry

Republicans aim to confirm Kavanaugh this weekend; protesters arrested

Apple, Amazon deny Bloomberg report on Chinese hardware attack

Australian wage forecasts need more work – central bank

Italy dismisses concern the EU will reject its budget plan

Japan household spending posts biggest rise in 3 years, signals steady recovery

Unfazed by yield surge, BOJ keeps size of super-long bond purchases

UK starting salaries jump but demand for staff cools – REC

Seeking Brexit deal, EU eyes compromise on Irish border

Australia Aug Retail Sales MM, 0.3%, 0.2% f'cast, 0.0% prev

Investors pull most cash from U.S. Treasury funds since March 2016 -Lipper

Foreign CB US debt holdings -$2.432 bln to $3.436 tln Oct 3 week

Treasuries -$3.082 bln to $3.060 tln, agencies +$1.077 bln to $306.819 bln





Economic Data Ahead

(0245 ET/0645 GMT) France Aug Trade Balance, EUR, SA, -4.50 bln f’cast, -3.49 bln prev

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Great Britain Sep Halifax House Prices MM, 0.2% f’cast, 0.1% prev

(0330 ET/0730 GMT) Great Britain Sep HalifaxHousePrice 3M/YY, 3.3% f’cast, 3.7% prev





Key Events Ahead

(0400 ET/0800 GMT) European Commission President Juncker holds lecture on Europe and global policy in VIENNA.

(0645 ET/1045 GMT) ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos gives speech at the University Carlos III of Madrid.

(1230 ET/1630 GMT) Federal Dallas President Kaplan participates in moderated question-and-answer session in Waco Texas.

(1240 ET/1640 GMT) Fed Atlanta President Bostic speaks on “Financial Literacy and Economic Education” in Atlanta.












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Asia Roundup:
Antipodeans consolidate near 30-month lows, dollar index gains as PBoC loosens policy, Asian shares plunge – Monday, October 8th, 2018







Market Roundup

China slashes banks' reserve requirements as trade war imperils growth

China Sep Caixin Services PMI, 53.1, 51.5 prev

Japan's Abe says would welcome Britain to TPP – FT

Far right, ex-military officer to face leftist in Brazil presidential runoff

Brexiteers set limit for UK Prime Minister Theresa May's trade deal with EU -The Times

Brexit uncertainty is “starting to bite” for UK firms – surveys

EU's Juncker upbeat on Brexit agreement, no-deal not an option

EU concerned by Italy's budget gaps for next 3 years

N.Korea's Kim Jong Un says talks with Pompeo 'productive and wonderful'- KCNA





Economic Data Ahead

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) EZ Oct Sentix Index, 11.7 f’cast, 12.0 prev





Key Events Ahead

(1200 ET/1600 GMT) ECB’s Ewald Nowotny, Austrian Finance Minister Hartwig Loeger and Erste Group Chief Executive Andreas Treichl take part in panel discussion about the future of the financial sector in Vienna.












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Asia Roundup:
Aussie rebounds on optimistic business confidence, dollar eases against yen amid renewed U.S.-China trade war tensions, Asian shares at 17-month low –  Tuesday, October 9th, 2018







Market Roundup

IMF cuts world economic growth forecasts as import tariffs, emerging market issues bite

China must take strong stimulus measures to support growth – state media

IMF chief economist not concerned about China's ability to defend currency

Trump says had 'good talk' with Rosenstein; no plans to fire him

Britain, EU play game of chicken in Brexit countdown

UK's summer spending spree cools in September – surveys

New Zealand's 2017/18 operating surplus beats forecast at NZ$5.5 bln

Japan Aug Current Account NSA JPY, 1,838.4 bln, 1,896.6 bln f’cast, 2,009.7 bln




Economic Data Ahead

No major economic data releases




Key Events Ahead

(0300 ET/0700 GMT) Riksbank’s Skingsley participates in Swedish Trade Union Confederation economists' monetary policy seminar in Stockholm.

(0430 ET/0830 GMT) BoE's Financial Policy Committee statement to be published in London.

(0730 ET/1130 GMT) Federal Reserve Bank Dallas’ Kaplan speaks before Economic Club of New York breakfast, in New York.

(1000 ET/1400 GMT) Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s Evans gives opening remarks at the OFN Conference 2018 in Chicago.

(1300 ET/1700 GMT) Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Harker speaks at Global Interdependence Center event in Philadelphia.

(1400 ET/1800 GMT) BoE’s Carney gives off-record remarks to CISI industry dinner in London.

N/A ECB governing council meeting in Frankfurt. No interest rate announcements scheduled.

N/A ECB governing council non-monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt.











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