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Analisis Forex dari Fxbazooka
#51
AUD/USD ahead of RBA Meeting: Can we see surprises?
Today at 03:30GMT we’ll have one of the first central banks to hold their meetings during this week, as the RBA is expected to leave unchanged its cash rate at 1.50%, which had been untouched since August. Because of current forecasts, it’s likely that the markets will be watching closely the Chinese data, such as the Manufacturing PMI (50.4 vs. 50.4) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (53.7); both for October. If data comes above the expectations, then we can expect a bullish reaction by the Australian Dollar across the board.
Our technical view for AUD/USD at H1 chart is calling for a bearish continuation, as the pair has been trading in that bias since October 26th, but currently, we’re seeing some corrective moves taking place. As of our Fibonacci retracement’s projection, eventually, it can cling towards the 61.8% level around 0.7650, which could be a strong resistance. However, if RBA statement and/or Chinese data brings some dovish hints for the Aussie economy, then a breakout below the 0.7560 is expected to happen.
[Image: AUDUSDH1.png]
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#52
EUR/USD: bears retreat, but don't give up

On the EUR/USD daily chart, "bulls" managed to test the important resistance levels at 1,096 and 1,104. However, "bears" will continue to keep the situation under control as long as quotes remain below the 1,1255-1,131 range (78,6-88,6% Fibonacci retracement levels from the AD wave). The main strategy is to increase sales as price rises.

[Image: Screenshot_2016_11_02_08_30_50(1).png]

On the EUR/USD hourly chart, the further dynamics in the movement of this pair will depend on the ability of buyers to test the resistance at 1.1113. There is a level of 61.8% of the last descending wave. In the vicinity of the 61.8% level, there are upper boundary of the "bearish" trading channel and target 127.2% of the "Crab" inverted pattern.

[Image: Screenshot_2016_11_02_08_18_43.png]

Recommendation: SELL 1,1115 SL 1,117 TP 1,095.

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#53
GBP/USD: downtrend going to act as resistance

[Image: 3-11-2016-GBP-H1-1.png]

The price has been consolidating in a range of the “Rectangle” pattern. The 55 Moving Average acted as a resistance. Therefore, bulls are likely going to test the next resistance near the local downward trend. If we see a pullback from here, there’ll be an opportunity to have another decline towards a support at 1.2081.
[Image: 3-11-2016-GBP-H4-1.png]

As we can see on the one-hour chart, the “Rectangle’s” upper side acted as a resistance, so the market is likely going to decline towards a support area at 1.2297 – 1.2271. If we have a pullback from these levels, the current consolidation is likely going to be continued.

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#54
“What if analysis” of markets after presidential election

As the most acrimonious US election is drawing to a close, financial markets keep fingers crossed for Hillary Clinton as she could maintain the status quo, whereas Trump’s victory would resemble the aftermath of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union. Controversy over Hillary Clinton’s e-mails could cause a fundamental shift in the presidential race and spread panic among investors. So, we decided to give you some prompts ahead of November 8 on what could happen with markets after the election. 

[Image: %D0%9F%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B7%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%...%D1%8F.jpg]

[Image: %D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%B42.JPG]

[Image: %D0%A1%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%B43.JPG]

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#55
Trump vs. Clinton: technical outlook for USD/JPY ahead of US elections 2016

The US presidential elections 2016 will take place today and people around the world will remain vigilant on the latest developments because uncertainty is in the air. Latest polls have been forecasting a possible victory by the Democratic Party candidate, Hillary Clinton, against his Republican party competitor, Donald Trump, but it’s not a secret that people are taking political polls with caution. In the UK (Brexit) and Colombia (Peace deal with FARC), for example, pollsters failed to forecast the outcome of those events.

But in the forex market, analysts are looking for trade opportunities for any outcome that may arise after today’s elections. In our technical perspective, we’ll take a look at the USD/JPY pair at H4 chart, which had been favored by a bullish momentum, following the FBI decision on Clinton’s email probe. The pair bounced from the 50% Fibo level around the 200 SMA and it’s trying to break higher the 104.51 level. If USD/JPY manages to do it, then we can expect a rally towards the 106.54 level, and that could be triggered by Clinton’s victory. By the other hand, if Trump wins the presidency, safe haven assets such as JPY, will receive a fresh bullish momentum, with USD/JPY plummeting towards the 100.00 psychological level in a first degree.

[Image: 1f289cb18e2340d88ffd7f308ff961d5.png]

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#56
EUR/USD: huge candles

[Image: 0911eurusdH4.png]

There’re a support on the 55 Moving Average and a resistance on the upper “Window”. So, if the lower “Window” acts as a support, bulls will probably try to deliver another upward price movement. As we can see on the Daily chart, here’s an “Inverted Hammer”, but this pattern hasn’t been confirmed yet. So, bears are likely going to test the last low once again.

[Image: 0911eurusdH1.png]

We’ve got a “Doji”, which has been confirmed enough. However, the pair is likely going to test the 55 Moving Average again. If we see a pullback from this line, there'll be an opportunity to have a bullish movement.

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#57
AUD/USD: on the Cloud support

Technical levels: support – 0.7665; resistance – 0.7730.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 0.7660; SL — 0.7640; TP1 — 0.7730; TP2 — 0.7780.


Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span B; cancelled dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the strong support formed by Cloud.

[Image: 03-audusdh4(47).png]

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#58
EUR/USD: wave started

[Image: Image20161111090203001.png]

The market has plunged because of a zigzag in wave D. So, we’ve got a bearish impulse in wave [a]. In this case, there’s an opportunity to have an upward correction soon. The main intraday target is 3/8 Murrey Math Level (P=200).

[Image: Image20161111090203002.png]

As we can see on the M15 chart, there’s an ended impulse in wave [a], so bulls are likely going to deliver wave (a) of [b]shortly. If a pullback from 4/8 MM Level happens afterwards, there’ll be time for wave (b).

[/b]
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#59
USD/JPY: bulls are on the attack

Technical levels: support – 106.90, 106.60; resistance – 107.70, 108.80.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 106.60; SL — 106.40; TP1 — 107.70; TP2 — 108.80.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud and rising lines of Ichimoku Indicator; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen over the Clouds; but there is an overbought market.

[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(57).png]

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#60
USD/JPY: market is under resistance

Technical levels: support – 106.90, 107.30; resistance – 108.80.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 108.80; SL — 109.00; TP1 — 108.00; TP2 — 107.30.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud and rising lines of Ichimoku Indicator; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen over the Clouds; but there is an overbought market and a strong resistance near 109.00.

[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(58).png]

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