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Analisis Forex dari Fxbazooka
USD/JPY: under the Senkou Span A
Technical levels: support – 100.00; resistance – 100.40.
Trade recommendations:
1. Sell — 100.40; SL — 100.60; TP1 — 99.00; TP2 — 98.50.
Reason: a bearish Ichimoku Cloud; Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are horizontal; a strong consolidation under resistance of Senkou Span A.
[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(16).png]
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USD/JPY & CB Consumer Confidence: How long can be the correction in the US dollar?

This week we'll have some major headlines in terms of macro data from the United States and today we'll start with the CB Consumer Confidence due to be released at 14:00 GMT. Last reading gave us a 97.3 number, but analysts are expecting a possible decrease at least to the 97.2 for August. During the last three data, CB showed a positive pattern, with only posting a decline from 94.7 to 92.6 in May.

Overall, in terms of technical analysis for USD/JPY at H1 chart, following the Jackson Hole Symposium that strengthened to the US Dollar across the board, we're seeing a consolidation above the 50 and 200 SMA. The nearest support can be found at the 101.87 level, that should have a breakout to the downside in the negative scenario from CB Consumer Confidence, while a positive one should push the pair to test higher levels above the resistance zone of 102.33.

[Image: USDJPYH1(4).png]

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AUD/USD: bears have control
AUD/USD has reached targets of "Three Indians" pattern. The break below the lower border of the bullish channel  means that bears have seized the initiative. The buyers manages to find some support at 0.752, but if the pair falls to yesterday's minimum, this will increase risks of decline to 0.744-0.7450.
[Image: Screenshot_2016_08_31_07_20_54.png]
On H1 AUD/USD is moving within descending trend channel. It means that bears remain in control. The targets of the downtrend are at 0.7490 and 0.7550. The nearest resistance is at 0.755 and 0.7590.
[Image: Screenshot_2016_08_31_07_25_11.png]
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USD/JPY: under pressure of 104.00

Technical levels: support – 102.50, 101.20; resistance – 103.50, 103.70, 104.10.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 103.70; SL — 103.90; TP1 — 102.50; TP2 — 101.20.

Reason: a bullish Ichimoku Cloud and the golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the strong resistance near 103.70.

[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(18).png]

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GBP/USD: bulls going to test last high once again
[Image: 7-9-2016-GBP-H4.png]
Yesterday bulls reached a resistance at 1.3471, so we’ve got a local consolidation in progress. Also, there’s a “V-Top” pattern, so the market is likely going to decline towards a support at 1.3370 – 1.3345 in the short term. At the same time, if we see a pullback from this area, there’ll be a chance to have an upward movement in the direction of a resistance at 1.3502 – 1.3533.
[Image: 7-9-2016-GBP-H1.png]
We’ve got a “Double Top” on the one-hour chart, but bulls are likely going to try to break the last high once again during the day. Nevertheless, it’s possible to have a downward correction towards a support at 1.3374 – 1.3351.

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AUD/USD: on the Clouds support
Technical levels: support – 0.7625; resistance – 0.7700.
Trade recommendations:
1. Buy — 0.7620/25; SL — 0.7600; TP1 — 0.7700; TP2 — 0.7730.
Reason: a strong support of Senkou Span B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; narrowing bearish Ichimoku Cloud.
[Image: 03-audusdh4(18).png]
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EUR/AUD broke resistance zone

EUR/AUD broke resistance zone
Next buy target - 1.5120

EUR/AUD continues to rise sharply- following the earlier breakout of the resistance zone lying between the resistance level 1.4900 (which reversed earlier waves (ii) and a, as can be seen below) and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the previous extended downward price move from February. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active minor correction (ii) – which belongs to the intermediate C-wave from May.

EUR/AUD is expected to rise further toward the next buy target at the resistance level 1.5120 (coinciding with the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the aforementioned downward price move from February).

[Image: EURAUD_-_Primary_Analysis_-_Sep-12_1138_AM_(1_day).png]

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Key option levels for Tuesday, September 13th


[Image: EURUSD(31).png]
Main trend
Short-term period
Medium-term period
[Image: N.png]Neutral
[Image: D.png]Bearish
Changes in the open interest
[Image: Bu.png]+ 102 614 ↑
[Image: B.png] + 21 765 ↑
Closest resistance levels
1.1302; 1.1328; 1.1342; 1.1361
Closest support levels
1.1226; 1.1203; 1.1176; 1.1144
Trading recommendations
Baseline scenario
Short EUR/USD below 1.1226, with target points at 1.1203 and 1.1176
Alternative scenario
Moving above 1.1302 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.1328 and 1.1342

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GBP/USD: "V-Bottom" set up bullish correction
[Image: 15-9-2016-GBP-H4.png]
The pair found a support at 1.3115, so we’ve got a “Double Bottom” pattern here. Considering a resistance at 1.3277, the market is likely going to reach the 89 Moving Average during the day. Nevertheless, if a pullback from this line takes place, bulls will probably try to deliver an upward movement in the direction of the next resistance at 1.3303 – 1.3345.
[Image: 15-9-2016-GBP-H1.png]
There’s a “V-Bottom” pattern, which led to a local upward price movement. So, there’s an opportunity to see a bearish correction towards a support at 1.3234 – 1.3209. Meanwhile, if a pullback from these levels be on the table, an achievement of the closest resistance at 1.3277 – 1.3302 becomes possible. 

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USD/JPY: welcome back to SSB
Technical levels: support – 101.90; resistance – 102.40, 102.90.
Trade recommendations:
1. Sell — 101.90; SL — 102.10; TP1 — 101.10; TP2 — 100.60.
2. Buy — 102.20; SL — 102.00; TP1 — 102.90; TP2 — 103.50.
Reason: a bullish, but the narrow Ichimoku Cloud; a cancelled golden cross of Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen; a strong support of Senkou Span B.
[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(26).png]

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