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Analisis Forex dari Fxbazooka
USD/JPY: Dollar supported by Kijun-sen

Technical levels: support – 114.50/60; resistance – 115.50, 116.20.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 114.80/90; SL — 114.60; TP1 — 115.50; TP2 — 116.20.

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are in the channel of Tenkan-Kijun and supported by Kijun-sen.

[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(84).png]

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EUR/USD: bearish impulse

[Image: Image20170314205004001.png]

There’re a wedge in wave [i] and a zigzag in wave [ii]. So, the market is likely going to decline in the short term. The main intraday target for bears is 5/8 MM Level.

[Image: Image20170314205004002.png]

We’ve got an impulse in wave © of [ii], which has been ended on 7/8 MM Level. Under this circumstances, we’re likely going to have an impulse in wave (i). So, bears will probably try to test 2/8 MM Level

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Morning brief for March 16

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The euro climbed to 1.0745 from 1.0600 against USD overnight thanks to the absence of any overt hawkish guidance in the Fed’s statement and EU-positive early results of the Dutch elections. The recent returns showed that far-right Wilders’ party won fewer seats than it was expected (19 instead of 22). This means that the shift towards populism may be slowing, or reversing. You may heave a sigh of relief. But the downward pressure on the euro is still in place; the prices are about to slide towards the nearest support at 1.0680/1.0600 levels.

USD/JPY fell to 113.05 in the Asian session. The Bank of Japan held its meeting today and left the monetary policy unchanged as it had been forecasted. The recent decline might be extended to 112.85. The level 111.65 is likely out of reach, however.

GBP/USD spiked to 1.2307 overnight, but in the early hours of Asian session eased off a bit having slid to 1.2265. The Bank of England is due to deliver its rate announcement at 2:00 pm MT time. It’s expected to be non-event. There won’t be Mark Carney’s press conference to put on steam to the BoE’s interest rate announcement.

Aussie erased all the March selling overnight having jumped to 0.7720 from 0.7555. In the Asian session, it failed to advance higher as we got a really disappointing February employment report. The headlines paint not a good picture for Australia’s labor market. There are sturdy support levels at 0.7650/0.7600 levels.

[Image: yellen-meme(1).png]

Loonie gained lots of strength from the recent USD depreciation. USD/CAD dropped to the strong support at 1.3280 (the upper border of Ichimoku cloud on the daily timeframe). A further decline can be extended no further than 1.3200. Most likely the USD manages to win back its earlier losses and tick towards the resistance at 1.3333 (100 H4 MA). Brent oil futures hopped to $52.15 on the USD weakness.

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Key option levels for Friday, March 17th

[Image: 507f38d2970e459d8e49f4ac418f3b36.png]

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USD/JPY: Dollar found support on 112.40

Technical levels: support – 112.40; resistance – 113.00, 113.35.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 112.40/50; SL — 112.20; TP1 — 113.00; TP2 — 113.350.

Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are on the support of 112.40; the market is oversold.

[Image: 04-usdjpyh4(85).png]

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EUR/USD: euro still under resistance

Technical levels: support – 1.0740, 1.0700; resistance – 1.0800/20.

Trade recommendations:

1. Sell — 1.0800; SL — 1.0820; TP1 — 1.0740; TP2 – 1.0700.

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, but the lines Senkou Span A and B are horizontal; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices are under a daily resistance; the market is overbought.

[Image: 01-eurusdh4(105).png]

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GBP/USD: pound is made new highs

Technical levels: support – 1.2420; resistance – 1.2525.

Trade recommendations:


1. Buy — 1.2420; SL — 1.2400; TP1 — 1.2520; TP2 — 1.2560.

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the lines are horizontal; the prices are under strong resistance; expected a correction to Tenkan-sen.

[Image: 02-gbpusdh4(82).png]

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Gold edges down in Asia

On Thursday, gold declined in Asia, as financial markets look to American politics over healthcare for risk direction with a major vote expected in Congress.

In New York, April delivery gold futures slumped 0.29%, trading at $1,246.05 a troy ounce, while copper futures were last quoted at $2.639 a pound.

Overnight, gold ascended, as market participants piled into the number one precious metal amid doubts over President Trump's economic policies while poorer than expected economic data backed upside momentum.

Gold prices kept trading close to session peaks, as market participants focused on the lack of progress regarding the Trump administration’s pro-growth policies ahead of a major House vote on Thursday.

House Republicans are on the verge of voting on their bill to repeal and also replace the Affordable Care Act on Thursday.

Besides this, weaker than expected American home resales applies pressure on the major US currency and added a layer of supported for greenback-denominated gold.

[Image: Gold-bar-mood-shot-1440_55.jpg]
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AUD/USD: aussie testing SSB’s support

Technical levels: support – 0.7600/20, 0.7570; resistance – 0.7670, 0.7700.

Trade recommendations:

1. Buy — 0.7620; SL — 0.7600; TP1 — 0.7670; TP2 — 0.7700.

Reason: narrowing bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a new dead cross of falling Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are entered into the Cloud and testing the support of Senkou Span B.

[Image: 03-audusdh4(91).png]

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Teva Pharm might fire 6,000 employees

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is expected to fire up to 6,000 employees around the globe as part of a multi-year efficiency plan. That’s what Israel's Calcalist news website informed on Thursday.

By the way, a Teva spokesperson refused to comment on the report.

Teva, the world's number one generic drug maker, employs approximately 57,000 people worldwide and it also appears to be Israel's largest public company.

It has faced a rough year, with a serious of costly acquisitions, in addition to delayed drug launches, which sent its stock going down 72%, reaching $32.61.

In February, the crisis of confidence made former chief executive Erez Vigodman to step down. Chairman Yitzhak Peterburg replaced him on a temporary basis.

One of Israel's leading financial media outlets, Calcalist posted that Teva has already minimized its workforce in Israel by approximately 100 folks as part of the efficiency plan.

[Image: F131011YS20.jpg]

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