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Analisis Forex dari Fxbazooka
#1
USD/JPY: "Window" could act as a support
[Image: 0908usdjpyH4.png]
There’s an “Engulfing” at the local high. Also, the last “Window” is still open, so the price is likely going to get a support on this “Window”. As we can see on the Daily chart, there’s a “Harami”, which has been confirmed enough. Therefore, bulls are probably going to deliver an upward correction.
[Image: 0908usdjpyH1.png]
The pair has been declining since a “Gravestone Doji” was formed at the last high. So, the market is likely going to test the nearest Moving Averages. If we see a pullback from these lines, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish rally.


lawati website kami :  https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/9988
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#2
GBP/CAD reversed from resistance zone

  • GBP/CAD reversed from resistance zone                       

  • Next sell target - 1.6750
GBP/CAD recently reversed down sharply from the resistance zone lying between the resistance level 1.7550, upper daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the previous sharp intermediate downward impulse (3) from June. The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active intermediate impulse wave (5), which belongs to the primary impulse ③ from May.
GBP/CAD is expected to fall further toward the next sell target at the strong support level 1.6750 (which stopped the aforementioned impulse wave (3) in July).
[Image: GBPCAD_-_Primary_Analysis_-_Aug-09_1457_PM_(1_day).png]

https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/9989
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#3
A special group has been set up by China to launch Shenzhen-HK stock connect
China's securities regulator has already set up a special work group in order to launch the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect scheme, as Chinese magazine Caixin posted on its website.
The group, headed by vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), Fang Xinghai, is solely responsible for coordinating efforts among various departments of the CSRC, relevant government bodies and also between Chinese as well as Hong Kong regulators. That’s what Caixin has already unveiled to its audience.
The Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect appears to be a cross-border investment program modeled after the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, that was launched in November 2014, and it enables mainland investors to purchase Hong Kong shares and vice versa.
Hong Kong Exchanges along with Clearing Ltd told in the mid-year report that the exchange was ready for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Connect scheme, and it was only waiting for regulatory approval.
[Image: HK_Shenzhen.jpg]
[Image: en_cashback_728x90.gif]


https://fxbazooka.com/news/7193
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#4
EUR/AUD reached sell target 1.4500
  • EUR/AUD reached sell target 1.4500

  • Next sell targets - 1.4300
EUR/AUD continues to fall after the earlier breakout of the long-term support level 1.4500, which has been steadily reversing this currency pair from December (as can be seen from the daily EUR/AUD chart below) and which was set as the sell target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The breakout of the support level 1.4500 is expected to accelerate the active minor impulse wave 5, which belongs to the ©-wave of the primary ABC correction ② from February.
If the pair closes today below the support level 1.4500 - EUR/AUD can then be expected to fall further to the next sell target at the support level 1.4300 (forecast price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5 and ©).
[Image: EURAUD_-_Primary_Analysis_-_Aug-11_1321_PM_(1_day).png]
https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10031
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#5
EUR/USD & NY Empire State Manufacturing Index: Not a major catalyst for today

Today should be a very flat day in the markets, as in most of the European and South American countries will have holidays. That's why we're seeing a very light economic calendar, but on the American's side, we'll have the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index to be released at 12:30 GMT, where the markets are expecting an increase from 0.55 to 2.50. That should have the medium impact on US Dollar across the board.

Our technical picture for EUR/USD at H4 chart is still pointing to the downside, as the resistance zone of 1.1225, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the Brexit's decline, remains very strong. That should give further hints of possible strengthening on the greenback, but the weakness is still alive. The nearest support zone is located at the 1.1073 level and it should be key during this week. In the bullish scenario, a breakout above the 1.1225 level will expose the pre-Brexit high to be tested on a mid-term basis.

[Image: EURUSDH4(15).png]

https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10053
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#6
EUR/USD & FOMC Minutes: When will we see the greenback's bottom for mid-term?
Today at 18:00 GMT will be released the FOMC minutes from July's meeting, where the interest rates were left unchanged. Those minutes should be acting as a catalyst for commodities and US dollar, as the last one has been showing weakness during last few days and that situation is helping to strengthen its major competitors (EUR, GBP, etc). There are no major expectations regarding the content of that meeting, but it can give us some hints of possible rate hikes for this year.
The technical picture for EUR/USD at H4 chart is reaching overbought conditions, as the pair had been rallying and it's fully consolidated above the 200 SMA. Next technical level is located in the 1.1327 price zone, where is placed the 100% Fibonacci extension, but a key resistance is at the 1.1379 level. Hawkish minutes should provide bullish momentum to the greenback and EUR/USD may slump to test Tuesday's low (1.1168) at least, while a very dovish should help the EUR to extend its gains against the dollar towards the 1.1379 level.
[Image: EURUSDH4(16).png]

https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10091
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#7
GBP/USD ahead of UK Retail Sales: Will the Pound remain under bearish pressure?
Today at 08:30 GMT will be released a key indicator for the UK economy, as the retail sales will be the market mover during early European session. During June, the indicator posted a worst-than-expected decline to -0.9%, but for July's outcome, analysts are expecting a rise to 0.2% on it's monthly reading. Regarding the yearly basis' data, retails sales could post a very slight decline to 4.2%, according to the market consensus.
GBP traders will be paying attention to this data, as the recent downside pressure on Sterling should make it to fall towards post-Brexit and multi-year low, at the 1.2794 level. The GBP/USD pair is consolidated below the 200 SMA at H4 chart and that moving average is acting as dynamic resistance. If the pair manages to break it to the upside, then we should see a rally to the 1.3438 level, at least in the mid-term. However, our key support to the downside remains located at 1.2794 level.
[Image: GBPUSDH4(6).png]

https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10108
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#8
Key option levels for Tuesday, August 23th

EUR/USD

[Image: EURUSD(20).png]
Main trend
Short-term period
Medium-term period
[Image: U.png]Bullish
[Image: D.png]Bearish
Changes in the open interest
[Image: Bu.png]+ 43 258 ↑
[Image: B.png] + 17 840 ↑
Closest resistance levels
1.1360; 1.1384; 1.1402; 1.1426
Closest support levels
1.1319; 1.1298(82?); 1.1261; 1.1234
Trading recommendations
Baseline scenario
Buy EUR/USD above 1.1360, with the target points at 1.1384 and 1.1402
Alternative scenario
Moving below 1.1319 can be considered as a signal to sell the pair, with target at 1.1298 and 1.1261


https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10167
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#9
EUR/USD: bears going to form impulse wave
[Image: Image20160824112918001.png]
We’ve got a possible truncated wave v of ©, so there’s an opportunity to have a downward impulse in wave i. The main intraday target is 4/8 Murrey Math Level (P=200). If we see a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to deliver wave ii.
[Image: Image20160824112918002.png]
As we can see on the one-hour chart, there’s a double pullback from 8/8 Murrey Math Level (P=200). Also, we’ve got a bearish impulse in wave [1], so the market is likely going to decline in wave [3] shortly. Under this circumstances, we should keep an eye on 3/8 MM Level as a possible bearish target.

https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10188
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#10
Key option levels for Thursday, August 25th
 

EUR/USD

[Image: EURUSD(22).png]
Main trend
Short-term period
Medium-term period
[Image: N.png]Neutral
[Image: D.png]Bearish
Changes in the open interest
[Image: Bu.png]+ 64 984 ↑
[Image: B.png] + 47 692 ↑
Closest resistance levels
1.1289; 1.1308; 1.1324; 1.1343
Closest support levels
1.1251; 1.1225; 1.1205; 1.1180
Trading recommendations
Baseline scenario
Long EUR/USD above 1.1289, with the target points at 1.1308 and 1.1324
Alternative scenario
Moving below 1.1251 can be considered as a signal to sell the pair, with target at 1.1225 and 1.1205


https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/10201
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